Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.001213 0.001365 0.001518 0.001682 0.001853 0.002024 0.002210
2025-11-02 0.000962 0.001181 0.001408 0.001657 0.001922 0.002194 0.002492
2025-11-09 0.000771 0.001038 0.001323 0.001644 0.001992 0.002354 0.002756
2025-11-16 0.000620 0.000924 0.001257 0.001641 0.002064 0.002510 0.003011
2025-11-23 0.000497 0.000827 0.001201 0.001642 0.002134 0.002659 0.003254
2025-11-30 0.000428 0.000786 0.001203 0.001702 0.002266 0.002872 0.003563
2025-12-07 0.000335 0.000704 0.001151 0.001696 0.002320 0.002997 0.003773
2025-12-14 0.000242 0.000611 0.001078 0.001660 0.002336 0.003076 0.003930
2025-12-21 0.000193 0.000571 0.001065 0.001692 0.002427 0.003235 0.004172
2025-12-28 0.000128 0.000495 0.001003 0.001661 0.002441 0.003307 0.004316
2026-01-04 0.000088 0.000448 0.000973 0.001666 0.002496 0.003422 0.004506
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000391 0.000925 0.001646 0.002518 0.003498 0.004650
2026-01-18 0.000011 0.000320 0.000866 0.001627 0.002562 0.003622 0.004875
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000254 0.000808 0.001608 0.002606 0.003747 0.005103
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000200 0.000760 0.001599 0.002661 0.003884 0.005346
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000156 0.000721 0.001598 0.002725 0.004032 0.005599
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000118 0.000685 0.001600 0.002790 0.004179 0.005852
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000105 0.000693 0.001661 0.002927 0.004410 0.006199
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000074 0.000656 0.001655 0.002981 0.004541 0.006431
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000040 0.000600 0.001620 0.002995 0.004624 0.006606
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000028 0.000591 0.001652 0.003092 0.004805 0.006892
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000008 0.000543 0.001621 0.003107 0.004887 0.007064
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000001 0.000519 0.001626 0.003168 0.005022 0.007295